| | 15 | |
| | 16 | * '''AMAZALERT - Raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate and long-term land-use change in the Amazon''' |
| | 17 | * __Keywords__: Amazon; Modeling; Land-use change; feedbacks; water availability; Early Warning System |
| | 18 | * __Brief description__: AMAZALERT enables raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate, society, land-use change, vegetation change, water availability and policies in Amazonia. [[BR]][[BR]]This programme will:[[BR]][[BR]]1) Analyse and improve coupled models of global climate and Amazon, land use, vegetation and socio-economic drivers to quantify anthropogenic and climate induced land-use and land cover change and non-linear, irreversible feedbacks among these components [[BR]]2) Assess the role of regional and global policies and societal responses in the Amazon region for altering the trajectory of land-use change in the face of climate change and other anthropogenic factors and finally [[BR]]3) Propose i) an Early Warning System for detecting any imminent irreversible loss of Amazon ecosystem services, ii) policy response strategies to prevent such loss. |
| | 19 | * __Starting date__: 1/9/2011 |
| | 20 | * __Duration__: 3 years |
| | 21 | * __Funding__: EU |
| | 22 | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: * Offline mode[[BR]]SECHIBA (11-layers hydrology) + STOMATE + Routing river module + Sheffield forcing dataset[[BR]]- Historical simulations (use of analytic carbon spin-up): one simulation without LUC and another one with LUC[[BR]]- Future simulations[[BR]][[BR]]* Online mode[[BR]]SECHIBA (2-layers hydrology) + STOMATE + Routing river module (?) + LMDZ[[BR]]Simulations with different LUC scenarios. |
| | 23 | * __Webpage__: http://www.eu-amazalert.org/home |
| | 24 | * __Main local contact__: Philippe Ciais |
| | 25 | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Philippe Ciais; Agnès Ducharne; Matthieu Guimberteau; Juan-Pablo Boisier; Hans Verbeeck; Marjolein De Weirdt... |
| 183 | | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Toon De Groote |
| | 194 | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Toon De Groote[[BR]] |
| | 195 | * ____: [[BR]]SEEN |
| | 196 | * ____: Scenario climatiques extremes et energie nucleaire |
| | 197 | * ____: Le projet vise à estimer les valeurs de température et de précipitation les plus extrêmes possibles susceptibles d’être rencontrées en France (et en Europe) au milieu ou à la fin du siècle compte-tenu du changement climatique. Pour ce faire, les approches statistiques, basées sur la théorie statistique des extrêmes (Extreme Value Theory : EVT) et ses extensions au contexte non stationnaire, seront confrontées à des approches physiques, mettant en œuvre la simulation météo-climatique. Il s’articule autour de trois principales tâches, dédiées respectivement aux études statistiques, aux analyses de simulations climatiques et à la réalisation d’études de sensibilité météo-climatiques,[[BR]] |
| | 198 | * ____: 2013 in prep. |
| | 199 | * ____: 4 years |
| | 200 | * ____: ANR |
| | 201 | * ____: [[BR]]Etudes de sensibilites en zoome guide avec l hydrologie 11 couches, preparation[[BR]]de cas 1D (worst case scenarios) couples atmosphere/orchidee . |
| | 202 | * ____: frederique Cheruy |
| | 203 | * ____: frederique Cheruy; |
| 190 | | |
| 191 | | * '''SEEN''' |
| 192 | | * __Keywords__: Scenario climatiques extremes et energie nucleaire |
| 193 | | * __Brief description__: Le projet vise à estimer les valeurs de température et de précipitation les plus extrêmes possibles susceptibles d’être rencontrées en France (et en Europe) au milieu ou à la fin du siècle compte-tenu du changement climatique. Pour ce faire, les approches statistiques, basées sur la théorie statistique des extrêmes (Extreme Value Theory : EVT) et ses extensions au contexte non stationnaire, seront confrontées à des approches physiques, mettant en œuvre la simulation météo-climatique. Il s’articule autour de trois principales tâches, dédiées respectivement aux études statistiques, aux analyses de simulations climatiques et à la réalisation d’études de sensibilité météo-climatiques,[[BR]] |
| 194 | | * __Starting date__: 2013 in prep. |
| 195 | | * __Duration__: 4 years |
| 196 | | * __Funding__: ANR |
| 197 | | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: [[BR]]Etudes de sensibilites en zoome guide avec l hydrologie 11 couches, preparation[[BR]]de cas 1D (worst case scenarios) couples atmosphere/orchidee . |
| 198 | | * __Main local contact__: frederique Cheruy |
| 199 | | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: frederique Cheruy; |
| 213 | | |
| 214 | | = U = |
| 215 | | |
| 216 | | = V = |
| 217 | | |
| 218 | | * '''VEGECLIM''' |
| 219 | | * __Keywords__: Tropics; carbon stocks |
| 220 | | * __Brief description__: VEGECLIM aims to estimate carbon stocks and fluxes of forests in Central Africa, and to quantify the potential impact of climate change and deforestation on these quantities. It is based on the joint use of ORCHIDEE and of 10 years of 1km SPOT-Vegetation data. |
| 221 | | * __Starting date__: 1/12/2009 |
| 222 | | * __Duration__: 4 years |
| 223 | | * __Funding__: Belgian Science Policy Office (BELSPO) |
| 224 | | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: The phenology of ORCHIDEE is first calibrated over Amazonian data (FLUXNET and SPOT-VGT), then applied over Central Africa. |
| 225 | | * __Webpage__: http://eo.belspo.be/Directory/ProjectDetail.aspx?projId=854 |
| 226 | | * __Main local contact__: Philippe Peylin |
| 227 | | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Hans Verbeeck; Marjolein de Weirdt; Fabienne Maignan |
| 228 | | |
| 229 | | * '''VULNOZ - Vulnerability to ozone in anthropized ecosystems. Which risks for 2020-2030 ?''' |
| 230 | | * __Keywords__: ozone; pollution; modelling |
| 231 | | * __Brief description__: The predicted ozone levels based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios are above acceptable thresholds for optimal[[BR]]development of agroecosystems. In peri-urban areas, ozone concentration peaks could be lowered and more frequent. Studying the consequences of such[[BR]]changes in ozone concentrations by 2020-2030 requires to fill up several gaps in our knowledge of agro-ecosystems vulnerability to ozone. In particular,[[BR]]changes in scales will be necessary, from ozone molecules to agro-ecosystems via plants. This will imply: (i) determination of the effective ozone flux[[BR]]through plant stomata and (ii) estimation of plant defence capacities through detoxification processes under changing climatic parameters (increases in both[[BR]]background ozone pollution and peak frequency). Results will be used to establish improved ozone-impact models (leaf, whole plant) that will then (iii) be[[BR]]integrated at both regional and European scales for various agro-ecosystems. This will allow (iv) to predict their responses to ozone in 2020-2030 and (v) to[[BR]]assess the socio-economic consequences of these response.[[BR]][[BR]]The VULNOZ research programme aims at improving this novel indicator by estimating the effective ozone flux into plants which is the balance between global[[BR]]ozone influx and ozone detoxified by plant tissues . The final objective is to allow accurate risk assessment for different ecosystems. The existing scientific relationships between the partners of this proposal and with several European laboratories (preparation for the 7th PCRD in progress) will most certainly speed the process of refining the indicators for ozone risk assessment for European vegetation. VULNOZ is structured between five work packages that are complementary to facilitate the solving of scientific and technological blocages and[[BR]]supportive of each other to facilitate data flow and integration. The two first years of the project will focus (i) on the production of ozone detoxification markers[[BR]]related to plant growth and (ii) on the distinction, at plot level (cultivated field or forest stand), between stomatal (uptake of ozone within the leaf) and nonstomatal[[BR]]deposits (physico-chemicals reactions of ozone with leaf surfaces and canopies).[[BR]]The work will rest mostly on the previous BioPollAtm programme (P. Cellier) as well as on the current IFLOZ programme (A. Repellin). Measurements of[[BR]]exchange in mass and energy will be obtained from the French sites of the European programme NitroEurope where ozone flux measurements will also be[[BR]]made. A first outcome of this work will be the issuing of a sub-model for plant functioning under ozone constraint. The strength of this project will consist in the[[BR]]integration of this sub-model into several others, more global to: (i) predict the impact on crop growth (STICS and CERES models), and (ii) on the functioning[[BR]]of ecosystems (CHIMERE model) and (iii) to estimate the economical consequences (AROPAj model). Thus, through these back and forth flows of data obtained at various scales of the systems, the multidisciplinary aspect of the VULNOZ project will fully materialize. |
| 232 | | * __Starting date__: 2009 |
| 233 | | * __Duration__: 4 years |
| 234 | | * __Funding__: ANR |
| 235 | | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: Development in ORCHIDEE carried out by Thomas Verbeke, PhD LSCE (supervisors: Didier Hauglustaine, Juliette Lathière, Sophie Szopa and Nicolas Viovy) to integrate the impact of ozone concentrations on vegetation growth. |
| 236 | | * __Main local contact__: Nicolas Viovy and Juliette Lathière |
| 237 | | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Thomas Verbeke; Nicolas Viovy; Juliette Lathière. |
| 238 | | |
| 239 | | = W = |
| 240 | | |
| 241 | | = X = |
| 242 | | |
| 243 | | = Y = |
| 244 | | |
| 245 | | = Z = |
| 246 | | |
| 247 | | = = |
| 248 | | |
| 249 | | * '''AMAZALERT - Raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate and long-term land-use change in the Amazon''' |
| 250 | | * __Keywords__: Amazon; Modeling; Land-use change; feedbacks; water availability; Early Warning System |
| 251 | | * __Brief description__: AMAZALERT enables raising the alert about critical feedbacks between climate, society, land-use change, vegetation change, water availability and policies in Amazonia. [[BR]][[BR]]This programme will:[[BR]][[BR]]1) Analyse and improve coupled models of global climate and Amazon, land use, vegetation and socio-economic drivers to quantify anthropogenic and climate induced land-use and land cover change and non-linear, irreversible feedbacks among these components [[BR]]2) Assess the role of regional and global policies and societal responses in the Amazon region for altering the trajectory of land-use change in the face of climate change and other anthropogenic factors and finally [[BR]]3) Propose i) an Early Warning System for detecting any imminent irreversible loss of Amazon ecosystem services, ii) policy response strategies to prevent such loss. |
| 252 | | * __Starting date__: 1/9/2011 |
| 253 | | * __Duration__: 3 years |
| 254 | | * __Funding__: EU |
| 255 | | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: * Offline mode[[BR]]SECHIBA (11-layers hydrology) + STOMATE + Routing river module + Sheffield forcing dataset[[BR]]- Historical simulations (use of analytic carbon spin-up): one simulation without LUC and another one with LUC[[BR]]- Future simulations[[BR]][[BR]]* Online mode[[BR]]SECHIBA (2-layers hydrology) + STOMATE + Routing river module (?) + LMDZ[[BR]]Simulations with different LUC scenarios. |
| 256 | | * __Webpage__: http://www.eu-amazalert.org/home |
| 257 | | * __Main local contact__: Philippe Ciais |
| 258 | | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Philippe Ciais; Agnès Ducharne; Matthieu Guimberteau; Juan-Pablo Boisier; Hans Verbeeck; Marjolein De Weirdt... |
| 259 | | |
| 260 | | = = |
| 271 | | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: P. Ciais ; J. Ghattas ; F. Maignan ; N. Viovy ; B. Poulter (LPJ)[[BR]] |
| 272 | | |
| | 233 | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: P. Ciais ; J. Ghattas ; F. Maignan ; N. Viovy ; B. Poulter (LPJ) |
| | 234 | |
| | 235 | = U = |
| | 236 | |
| | 237 | = V = |
| | 238 | |
| | 239 | * '''VEGECLIM''' |
| | 240 | * __Keywords__: Tropics; carbon stocks |
| | 241 | * __Brief description__: VEGECLIM aims to estimate carbon stocks and fluxes of forests in Central Africa, and to quantify the potential impact of climate change and deforestation on these quantities. It is based on the joint use of ORCHIDEE and of 10 years of 1km SPOT-Vegetation data. |
| | 242 | * __Starting date__: 1/12/2009 |
| | 243 | * __Duration__: 4 years |
| | 244 | * __Funding__: Belgian Science Policy Office (BELSPO) |
| | 245 | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: The phenology of ORCHIDEE is first calibrated over Amazonian data (FLUXNET and SPOT-VGT), then applied over Central Africa. |
| | 246 | * __Webpage__: http://eo.belspo.be/Directory/ProjectDetail.aspx?projId=854 |
| | 247 | * __Main local contact__: Philippe Peylin |
| | 248 | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Hans Verbeeck; Marjolein de Weirdt; Fabienne Maignan |
| | 249 | |
| | 250 | * '''VULNOZ - Vulnerability to ozone in anthropized ecosystems. Which risks for 2020-2030 ?''' |
| | 251 | * __Keywords__: ozone; pollution; modelling |
| | 252 | * __Brief description__: The predicted ozone levels based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios are above acceptable thresholds for optimal[[BR]]development of agroecosystems. In peri-urban areas, ozone concentration peaks could be lowered and more frequent. Studying the consequences of such[[BR]]changes in ozone concentrations by 2020-2030 requires to fill up several gaps in our knowledge of agro-ecosystems vulnerability to ozone. In particular,[[BR]]changes in scales will be necessary, from ozone molecules to agro-ecosystems via plants. This will imply: (i) determination of the effective ozone flux[[BR]]through plant stomata and (ii) estimation of plant defence capacities through detoxification processes under changing climatic parameters (increases in both[[BR]]background ozone pollution and peak frequency). Results will be used to establish improved ozone-impact models (leaf, whole plant) that will then (iii) be[[BR]]integrated at both regional and European scales for various agro-ecosystems. This will allow (iv) to predict their responses to ozone in 2020-2030 and (v) to[[BR]]assess the socio-economic consequences of these response.[[BR]][[BR]]The VULNOZ research programme aims at improving this novel indicator by estimating the effective ozone flux into plants which is the balance between global[[BR]]ozone influx and ozone detoxified by plant tissues . The final objective is to allow accurate risk assessment for different ecosystems. The existing scientific relationships between the partners of this proposal and with several European laboratories (preparation for the 7th PCRD in progress) will most certainly speed the process of refining the indicators for ozone risk assessment for European vegetation. VULNOZ is structured between five work packages that are complementary to facilitate the solving of scientific and technological blocages and[[BR]]supportive of each other to facilitate data flow and integration. The two first years of the project will focus (i) on the production of ozone detoxification markers[[BR]]related to plant growth and (ii) on the distinction, at plot level (cultivated field or forest stand), between stomatal (uptake of ozone within the leaf) and nonstomatal[[BR]]deposits (physico-chemicals reactions of ozone with leaf surfaces and canopies).[[BR]]The work will rest mostly on the previous BioPollAtm programme (P. Cellier) as well as on the current IFLOZ programme (A. Repellin). Measurements of[[BR]]exchange in mass and energy will be obtained from the French sites of the European programme NitroEurope where ozone flux measurements will also be[[BR]]made. A first outcome of this work will be the issuing of a sub-model for plant functioning under ozone constraint. The strength of this project will consist in the[[BR]]integration of this sub-model into several others, more global to: (i) predict the impact on crop growth (STICS and CERES models), and (ii) on the functioning[[BR]]of ecosystems (CHIMERE model) and (iii) to estimate the economical consequences (AROPAj model). Thus, through these back and forth flows of data obtained at various scales of the systems, the multidisciplinary aspect of the VULNOZ project will fully materialize. |
| | 253 | * __Starting date__: 2009 |
| | 254 | * __Duration__: 4 years |
| | 255 | * __Funding__: ANR |
| | 256 | * __Use of ORCHIDEE__: Development in ORCHIDEE carried out by Thomas Verbeke, PhD LSCE (supervisors: Didier Hauglustaine, Juliette Lathière, Sophie Szopa and Nicolas Viovy) to integrate the impact of ozone concentrations on vegetation growth. |
| | 257 | * __Main local contact__: Nicolas Viovy and Juliette Lathière |
| | 258 | * __Participants from ORCHIDEE group__: Thomas Verbeke; Nicolas Viovy; Juliette Lathière.[[BR]] |
| | 259 | |
